PGA Championship 2026 First Round Leader Tips: My Two Value Picks Have 5 PGA Tour Wins Each

Who will lead the PGA Championship after day one at Aronimink? I successfully tipped the first round leader at The Masters and I think I've done it again...

Aronimink Golf Club, host of the 2026 PGA Championship, with an inset image of the Bazza's Best Bets Logo
My two selections in the first round leader market have five PGA Tour wins each
(Image credit: Getty Images)

It's PGA Championship week and I've already shared the Bazza's Best Bets column, with five top picks for the second men's Major of the season, but there is still plenty of time to take a look at another interesting market - the first round leader!

I successfully tipped the first round leader at The Masters and backed that up with another outright winner (Cam Young at the Cadillac Championship) a few weeks ago, so confidence is high about keeping that run going with another stab in the first round leader market.

PGA Championship First Round Leader Betting Tips 2026

It goes without saying I am high on Cameron Young in just about every market you can get for the 2026 PGA Championship - so I'd start there, but for the purposes of not sounding like a broken record let's look elsewhere on the odds board for some special bets.

My first selection in this market is Russell Henley. The five-time PGA Tour winner is not someone who you might instantly think of for a long, gruelling Major test - but Henley is a fairways and greens man and that could be invaluable here.

Henley has played Donald Ross designs well in the past, particularly in the opening round, and ranks 23rd for round one scoring in 2026 so far.

The American has banked opening rounds of 61, 65 and 67 at East Lake, a respectable 70 at Pinehurst No.2 (a Ross designed Major Test) and a pair of 62s in his last three starts at Sedgefield Country Club - which uses similar pedestal style Ross greens.

Henley was 3rd at the Masters last month, which also shares some small correlation to the Aronimink test, and started the season with opening rounds of 65, 65, 66 in his first three events. He is a very interesting option at a great price in this market.

Russell Henley reading a putt while crouching down on the green and leaning on his putter

Henley has first round pedigree on Donald Ross designs

(Image credit: Getty Images)

My second selection in the first round leader market is Nick Taylor. The Canadian might not seem the perfect candidate to contend here, in a similar way to Henley, as he isn't the longest off the tee - but there is more than one way to win here.

Nick Taylor ranks 4th for first round scoring on the PGA Tour this season and opened with 66 last week (and 66 the week before) to contend early in big signature events.

Also a five-time PGA Tour winner, Taylor ranked 12th for first round scoring at East Lake last season (another Ross design with great correlation), plus he already posted a pair of 65s and a 62 in opening rounds this season.

Taylor also started with a 63 at Sedgefield Country Club in his last start at the Wyndham Championship, with a pair of 65s present in his course history on that particular Donald Ross design.

Nick Taylor hitting a bunker shot with sand flying around his ball in flight

Nick Taylor has had a fast start in each of his last two starts on the PGA Tour

(Image credit: Getty Images)

The 2026 PGA Championship tee times are now out and it looks like both Henley and Taylor are out in the afternoon, so they will know exactly what they need to beat in order to take an early lead.

While I am not sure either of these players have the length required over four rounds to win the PGA Championship this year, despite being great value each-way options, I do like their chances of navigating and building a strong start to the event this week.

Baz Plummer
Staff Writer

Baz joined Golf Monthly in January 2024, and now leads the instruction section across all platforms - including print and digital. Working closely with Golf Monthly's Top 50 Coaches, he aims to curate and share useful tips on every aspect of the game - helping amateurs of all abilities to play better golf. Baz also contributes weekly to the features section, sharing his thoughts on the game we love and the topics that matter most. A member at Sand Moor Golf Club in Leeds, he looks forward to getting out on the course at least once a week in the pursuit of a respectable handicap.

Baz is currently playing:

Driver: Benross Delta XT

3-Wood: Benross Delta XT

Hybrid: TaylorMade Stealth 4 Hybrid

Irons: Benross Delta XT 5-PW

Wedges: TaylorMade RAC 60, Callaway Jaws MD5 54

Putter: TaylorMade Spider Tour

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