This Common Golf Shot Is Almost Impossible For Some Amateurs... Here's What You Should Do Instead

This shot is taken on by many amateurs who foolishly think they can beat the odds, but the data suggests it's almost impossible for some golfers to execute

Baz Plummer preparing to hit a fairway wood, over 200 yards away from the green, with an inset image of Baz Plummer selecting his club and an emoji of a disappointed person with their palm on their forehead
This is an almost impossible shot for most amateur golfers, so why do so many still take it on?
(Image credit: Getty Images/Mark Newcombe)

When faced with a difficult shot on the golf course, like being stuck behind a tree or chipping off a downhill lie with a green that runs away from you, many amateur golfers conjure some often unearned bravery and take the shot on.

But, what if I told you that one of the toughest shots in golf to execute could actually be played from the middle of the fairway?

According to the latest Shot Scope data, the success rate of amateur golfers hitting the green with approach shots from over 200 yards out is scarily low... and for some, it's almost impossible!

This Common Golf Shot Is Almost Impossible For Some Amateurs

I would wager that, for most golfers, taking on an approach shot from over 200 yards is not uncommon - in fact, I do it myself all the time.

There is usually a nagging feeling of uncertainty over my decision, and a constant sense of doubt about my ability to hit the green from that sort of distance, but I will still pull the head cover off my fairway wood and give it a crack.

However, after analysing the latest Shot Scope data, perhaps it's time for an urgent change of strategy.

Baz Plummer pulling the head cover off his a fairway wood and looking down at the club while standing next to his golf bag

Blind ambition has cost me on the golf course before, but this data has opened my eyes

(Image credit: Mark Newcombe)

When attempting an approach shot from over 200 yards out, irrespective of how close they hit it to the pin, the average scratch golfer hits the green just 14% of the time.

That figure drastically drops off when compared to a 5-handicapper (5%) and 10-handicapper (4%) - meaning that the average success rate for an amateur golfer with a low handicap index of 10 or less is just over 7%.

As we move into the realms of a mid- to high-handicapper, however, the picture turns very bleak.

A 15-handicap golfer hits the green with an approach shot of over 200 yards just 2% of the time on average, while the success rate of a 20-handicapper is just 1%.

According to the data, it's almost impossible for a player with a 25-handicap or higher to execute this shot, with a success rate of less than 1%.

Baz Plummer in the setup position with fairway wood, preparing to hit an approach shot from over 200 yards at Sand Moor Golf Club

Hitting the green from over 200 yards is unlikely for most amateur golfers - making it one of the hardest shots in golf to execute

(Image credit: Mark Newcombe)

This Is What You Should Do Instead

Obviously, this is an average and some higher-handicap golfers will have fond memories of hitting the ball dead straight to the middle of the green from miles away - but, the numbers do not lie.

Rather than fondly fantasising about that one time you hit the green from 201 yards, downhill with a strong assist from the helping wind, now is the time to evaluate your strategy when faced with this type of shot.

After all, the average amateur golfer has a less than 5% chance of hitting the green from over 200 yards out, but when inside 100 yards that number shoots up to 54%.

A little course management and a realistic attitude could go a long way to improving the scores on the card - so stop forcing it and play sensible golf.

The scoring average on par-5s for amateur golfers with a handicap of 15 or higher is six, so why not take that extra shot to get to the green, make your nett par and avoid the risk of bringing huge numbers into play.

Baz Plummer
Staff Writer

Baz joined Golf Monthly in January 2024, and now leads the instruction section across all platforms - including print and digital. Working closely with Golf Monthly's Top 50 Coaches, he aims to curate and share useful tips on every aspect of the game - helping amateurs of all abilities to play better golf. Baz also contributes weekly to the features section, sharing his thoughts on the game we love and the topics that matter most. A member at Sand Moor Golf Club in Leeds, he looks forward to getting out on the course at least once a week in the pursuit of a respectable handicap.

Baz is currently playing:

Driver: Benross Delta XT

3-Wood: Benross Delta XT

Hybrid: TaylorMade Stealth 4 Hybrid

Irons: Benross Delta XT 5-PW

Wedges: TaylorMade RAC 60, Callaway Jaws MD5 54

Putter: TaylorMade Spider Tour