3M Open 2025 First-Round Leader Picks: Habitual Fast-Starter Backed To Maintain Run At TPC Twin Cities

The PGA Tour returns to centre stage following The Open Championship, and we've selected a couple of potential first-round leaders of the 2025 3M Open

Jake Knapp made two huge changes at either end of the bag en route to breaking the course record at PGA National
(Image credit: Getty Images)

Just days after Scottie Scheffler won The Open Championship to wrap up men's Major season, the PGA Tour campaign continues at TPC Twin Cities in Minnesota with the 3M Open.

While many of the world's absolute elite take at least one week to rest and recover before the FedEx Cup Playoffs start, there is still a particularly strong field preparing for battle in Blaine.

Following an extremely successful past two weeks in the British Isles, Chris Gotterup holds one of the shortest prices to reign supreme on home soil. He is joined by Sam Burns and the likes of Max Greyserman, Maverick McNealy and Wyndham Clark in terms of outright betting picks.

Among the sleeper picks for the 3M Open are players such as Max McGreevy, Chris Kirk and Haotong Li - another pro who, like Gotterup, has enjoyed a potentially career-changing past several days.

But before we get to Sunday, everyone will try to go as low as possible over the first 18 holes. Who is most likely to achieve it? We've taken a look below...

Jacob Bridgeman takes a shot at the Butterfield Bermuda Championship

Jacob Bridgeman carded a 63 to lead the 3M Open after 18 holes in 2024

(Image credit: Getty Images)

JAKE KNAPP (+5000)

The monster-hitting American might well have a say towards the end of this tournament as well, but if you're looking for a likely candidate to come out of the traps flying, Jake Knapp has got to be under consideration.

Knapp co-led the Genesis Scottish Open with a 64 two weeks ago and was one stroke away from co-leading the RBC Canadian Open four starts ago, too, thanks to a first-round 63 (Cameron Champ shot 62).

He ranks 10th on the PGA Tour for Round 1 Scoring Average with a total of 68.84, and he's T26th for total rounds in the 60s this season.

If that wasn't enough, Knapp ranks third on the entire PGA Tour for total birdies made - another key metric if your chosen player is to lead after 18 holes.

Jake Knapp acknowledges the crowd during round three of the 2024 Mexico Open

(Image credit: Getty Images)

MICHAEL THORBJORNSEN (+5000)

Using the same metrics as above, Michael Thorbjornsen could easily be considered among the most likely candidates to top the 3M Open leaderboard on Thursday night.

He averages 4.38 birdies a round and has managed 27 rounds in the 60s so far this term. Crucially, his Round 1 Scoring Average currently sits at 69.19 - the 16th best among his PGA Tour peers.

Although he hasn't been as close to the top of a round-one leaderboard as Knapp in recent weeks, Thorbjornsen carded a 66 during his first visit to TPC Twin Cities last season. And, if not for a mid-round bogey as well as a couple of close shaves, he would have been vying for first alongside Jacob Bridgeman with his opening 63.

Priced at just +3500 to win the event, picking Thorbjornsen to lead after round one at +5000 could make plenty of sense.

Michael Thorbjornsen hits a wedge shot during the 2025 ISCO Championship

(Image credit: Getty Images)

3M OPEN FIRST-ROUND LEADER ODDS

First-round leader odds via FanDuel Sportsbook. All prices correct at time of publication.

  • Sam Burns (+3500)
  • Maverick McNealy (+3500)
  • Chris Gotterup (+3500)
  • Wyndham Clark (+4000)
  • Max Greyserman (+4500)
  • Taylor Pendrith (+4500)
  • Tony Finau (+5000)
  • Michael Thorbjornsen (+5000)
  • Jake Knapp (+5000)
  • Akshay Bhatia (+5000)
  • Si Woo Kim (+5000)
  • Max Homa (+5500)
  • Adam Scott (+5500)
  • Davis Thompson (+5500)
  • Kurt Kitayama (+5500)
  • Cameron Champ (+5500)
  • Rickie Fowler (+5500)
  • Luke Clanton (+5500)
  • Jesper Svensson (+6000)
  • Niklas Norgaard (+6000)
  • Emiliano Grillo (+6000)
  • Keith Mitchell (+6000)
  • Sungjae Im (+6000)
  • Kevin Yu (+6000)
  • Alex Smalley (+6500)
  • Rico Hoey (+6500)
  • Haotong Li (+6500)
  • Matt Wallace (+6500)
  • All other players priced at +7000 or higher
Jonny Leighfield
Staff Writer

Jonny Leighfield is our Staff News Writer who joined Golf Monthly just in time for the 2023 Solheim Cup and Ryder Cup. He graduated from the University of Brighton with a degree in Sport Journalism in 2017 and spent almost five years as the sole sports reporter at his local newspaper. During his time with Golf Monthly, Jonny has interviewed several stars of the game, including Robert MacIntyre, Ian Poulter, Lee Westwood, and Joaquin Niemann. An improving golfer himself, Jonny enjoys learning as much about the game as he can and recently reached his Handicap goal of 18 for the first time. He attended both the 150th and 151st Open Championships and dreams of attending The Masters one day.

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