Wyndham Championship Betting Picks and Predictions

The PGA Tour is in Greensboro, North Carolina, for the Wyndham Championship. OddsChecker's golf handicapper and expert Andy Lack gives us his best picks for the 2023 Wyndham Championship.

Hideki Matsuyama plays his shot from the fourth tee during the 3M Open.
(Image credit: Getty Images)

The Wyndham Championship has been a staple of the PGA Tour since 1938, when it was founded as the Greater Greensboro Open. It has always been played annually in April or May until a schedule change in 2003 moved it to the beginning of August. The event has been hosted at a number of courses over the years before a permanent move to the Donald Ross-designed Sedgefield Country Club in 2008. It is the final PGA Tour event before the FedEx Cup playoffs and the last chance for players on the outside looking in to crack the top 70 and continue their season next week in Memphis. 

Some major names with serious work to do to qualify include Justin Thomas, Shane Lowry, and Billy Horschel. While securing a spot in the FedEx Cup playoffs adds an extra element of intrigue, the field is also populated by players in a safer position who are simply looking to improve their standing heading into next week’s FedEx Cup kickoff in Memphis. Hideki Matsuyama, Sungjae Im, and Sam Burns will be the pre-tournament favorites heading into what is sure to be a pressure-packed week in Greensboro. 

Before we get into our picks for the Wyndham Championship, make sure to take a moment to check out these awesome sports betting offers for this week. We have teamed up with OddsChecker to ensure that you claim $1000s in first-bet bonuses so that you can bet on these 2023 Wyndham Championship selections with more confidence this week.

Wyndham Championship: Course Preview

Sedgefield Country Club

The Donald Ross-designed Sedgefield Country Club features all of the staples of a Carolina golf course, and it is one of the few courses on Tour that can provide plenty of pushback despite its less-than-imposing length. Measuring just 7,131 yards on the scorecard, Sedgefield is one of the shortest courses on the PGA Tour, but tricky, unpredictable Bermuda rough, and challenging Donald Ross green complexes will still have players’ attention this week. Sedgefield falls in line with many of the other short, positional golf courses on Tour, such as Harbour Town, TPC Sawgrass, Sea Island, and TPC River Highlands, where playing from the fairway is a huge advantage. 

Last year, the Ross design ranked fourth out of 38 courses in missed fairway penalty, and a track that produces former champions such as Tom Kim, Kevin Kisner, Jim Herman, J.T. Poston, Brandt Snedeker, Henrik Stenson, Si Woo Kim, and Sergio Garcia is all the evidence we need to know that precision trumps power. With a whopping eight par fours measuring between 400 and 450 yards this week, nearly two-thirds of all approach shots come from between 125 and 200 yards. Finding the fairway, elite short to middle iron play, and a hot putter is generally the easiest path to success in the PGA Tour regular-season finale. This week, I will primarily be looking to identify players that check all three of those boxes and also have a proven track record of success on many of the other shorter, Bermuda, accuracy-biased golf courses on the PGA Tour schedule.

Wyndham Championship Key Stats

  • Long-term Proximity 125-175 yards
  • Driving Accuracy Percentage
  • Strokes Gained Total: Short, Positional Golf Courses

Wyndham Championship: Outright Winner

Hideki Matsuyama (20/1) (Bet $100 to collect $2,100) BetMGM has the best Hideki Matsuyama odds

Hideki Matsuyama has had a very quiet, consistently strong season. Still, with his last win coming in January of 2022, I figure it’s about time that the former Masters champion found himself holding another trophy on Sunday afternoon. Matsuyama already has three top-15 finishes in seven appearances at the Wyndham, and he has gained strokes ball-striking in every appearance here. The 31-year-old remains the best pure short to middle iron player in this entire field, and he is an incredibly accurate driver of the ball as well. Sedgefield is the type of course that Hideki generally feels very comfortable on, as he ranks second in this field in strokes gained total on short, positional golf courses and sixth on Bermuda-based golf courses over the last two years. He is coming off an incredibly strong ball-striking performance at the 3M Open, where he gained over 2.5 strokes off the tee and nearly five strokes on approach. With some awfully impressive performances at TPC Sawgrass and East Lake as well, Matsuyama has a proven track record of success on Southeastern Bermuda grass golf courses. Still the class of the field from a ball-striking standpoint, I’m expecting an elite performance this week out of the eight-time PGA Tour winner heading into the FedEx Cup playoffs.

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Hideki Matsuyama's Outright Odds Comparison via OddsChecker
SportsbookOddsPayout ($100 Wager)

As you can see, it is imperative that you compare the Wyndham Championship odds at OddsChecker.

Hideki Matsuyama is now best-priced at +2000 at BetMGM, and just +1800 at BetRivers, DraftKings, and Bet365, a stark $200 difference in returns. Make sure to pick the best sportsbook for your Hideki Matsuyama pick with OddsChecker.

Aaron Rai (45/1) (Bet $100 to collect $4,600) Head to DraftKings for the best Aaron Rai odds

Aaron Rai has quietly emerged as one of the most accurate drivers of the golf ball on Tour, and he is showing all the signs of a player primed for a major breakthrough. When betting the golf outright market, it’s important to look more at spike performances than consistent play, and Rai has shown winning upside on multiple occasions this season. There have already been seven instances this calendar year where Rai has gained over five strokes ball-striking, and he is coming off a rock-solid 20th-place finish at the 3M Open, where he gained strokes in all four major categories. Rai has been the third most accurate driver of the ball in the field this season, and he also ranks top-15 in this field in strokes gained off the tee on short, positional golf courses, recent approach play, and proximity from 125-175 yards. Recent top-25 finishes at TPC Sawgrass and TPC River Highlands shows his meddle on these types of golf courses, and he carries the ideal statistical profile to find success on courses that emphasize precision off the tee and short to middle iron play. This is an absolutely perfect spot for the 28-year-old to pick up his first PGA Tour victory.

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Aaron Rai's Outright Odds Comparison via OddsChecker
SportsbookOddsPayout ($100 Wager)

Once again, OddsChecker odds comparison tool comes to the fore, as there is a difference of $500 in returns when you bet $100 on Aaron Rai at DraftKinfs and BetMGM rather than Bet365 and BetRivers.

Andy Lack

A PGA Tour writer and podcaster from Manhattan, New York, Andy Lack has contributed to sites such as Golf Digest, GolfWRX, OddsChecker Rotoballer, the Score, and now Golf Monthly. Andy is also the host of a golf betting and daily fantasy podcast, Inside Golf Podcast, as well as "The Scramble” with Rick Gehman, and a recurring guest on the Pat Mayo Experience. When he’s not writing, Andy can likely be found somewhere on a golf course pursuing his lifelong dream of qualifying for the U.S. Amateur.