Only the one tournament this week but what a humdinger it is with all top ten in the world rankings teeing it up for the richest tournament of the year so far, the $12m Genesis Invitational at fabulous Riviera.
Yes, we’re in Hollywood just a block away from Sunset Boulevard for the final, star-laden leg of the West Coast Swing and a prized tournament which amazingly Jack Nicklaus and Tiger Woods never won, but first let’s look back at the weekend thriller in Arizona where, for 70 holes, a mega-upset was very much on the cards. Sahith Theegala, it’s not an easy name to remember but don’t forget it as this 24-year-old Californian of Indian parentage will be winning us all much gold in the next few years.
Nobody looked a more likely winner until the barely-known invitee drove into the water behind the temptingly drivable 17th, turning the birdie that would have won it into the bogey that consigned him to a tearful third place, just a shot out of the playoff. Not in the least daunted by playing in the final threeball as 54-hole leader, he displayed dazzling short-game skills that won him thousands of new admirers and one thing is certain: he won’t be starting at 225/1 again any time soon.
Why would anyone want to join a breakaway tour in an alien land when such riches are on the table at home? The $12m pot, a huge hike from last year’s $9.3m, is there for the winning, just for hitting a little white ball round a field … what’s not to like about that?
Scott's last PGA Tour win came here in 2020
That reduced the tournament to 36 holes, or 37 in Scott’s case as he had to go to a Monday playoff before seeing off Chad Campbell, but the Aussie has shone there regularly, finishing runner-up to Bubba in 2016 before finally nailing an “official” win. And he’s started his new revised schedule with a brace of top-tens in the Middle East and a solid-enough warm-up for this on his first US start of the year at Scottsdale.
Hideki Matsuyama also holds strong course credentials on top of compelling recent form, having followed victory in Hawaii with a solid tenth in Arizona. Top-ten Riviera finishes in 2015-19-20 mark the Masters champion down as a threat to the best. Having got a monkey off his back, Scheffler will be playing with greater freedom and cannot be ignored while Cantlay’s last four starts read 4-9-4-2 for a total of 75 under par. His best at Riviera was fourth to Watson in 2018 but letting another one get away - he missed the ten-footer that would have done the job in real time on Sunday - he may feel the gods are against him.
In his home state Collin Morikawa would love to win but that applies to many in the line-up, DJ hasn’t had a top-ten since September (but has barely played), Brooks Koepka looked well short of his mighty best under the gun at Scottsdale and McIlroy has gone well in the past without winning. With Viktor Hovkand and Jordan Spieth misfiring last week and last year’s playoff victim Tony Finau out of form, finding the solution isn’t easy.
Xander Schauffele, only a shot out of Sunday’s playoff, was posting his first high finish of 2022 but while the Olympic gold medalist is totally respected, out of the top ten in the market, I like Matsuyama, Justin Thomas, the 2019 runner-up who finished well for eighth after the horse had bolted last week, and Cantlay best.
I shall put them with relative outsiders Watson, Scott and Pieters in this week’s staking plan, putting up six to make up for the lack of DP World Tour action owing to Covid restrictions ruling out the Indian Open.
Genesis Invitational Golf Betting Tips 2022
- 1.5pts each-way Adam Scott at 50/1 with Bet365
- 1.5pts each-way Hideki Matsuyama at 25/1 with William Hill
- 1.5pts each-way Justin Thomas at 16/1 with Bet365
- 1pt each-way Patrick Cantlay at 12/1 with Betfair
- 1pt each-way Bubba Watson at 40/1 with Bet365
- 0.5pt each-way Thomas Pieters at 80/1 with Bet365
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