Italian Open 2025 Betting Picks To Win, Predictions And Odds
As the DP World Tour returns following the US Open, we've chosen a number of stand-out names we expect to compete at the Italian Open this week...


Following a couple of weeks away, the DP World Tour season is set to continue with one of the oldest national championships in the world - the Italian Open.
Having celebrated its 80th edition in 2023, the Italian Open has long been an integral part of the European Tour. It has also been - at least for the past decade - one of the tightest competitions around.
Since 2014, when South Africa's Hennie Otto won by two clear strokes, the Italian Open has not been decided by more than a single shot. There have been three playoffs in that time span, with a number of high-profile winners such as Francesco Molinari, Tyrrell Hatton, Robert MacIntyre and Thorbjorn Olesen.
Marcel Siem is the defending champion after a playoff victory over Tom McKibbin in 2024. However, the German is not among the favorites this time out, with that burden felt by England's Jordan Smith and Marco Penge plus Norway's Kristoffer Reitan.
Below, we've listed the outright odds for many of the leading claims in the field as well as a couple of picks each who we believe can go the distance.
Marcel Siem won the Italian Open in 2024
Italian Open Course Guide: Argentario Golf Club
Argentario Golf Club in Monte Argentario is one of the most beautiful courses anywhere on the DP World Tour circuit. The 6,857-yard par-71, as it will play this week, is set in the Orbetello Lagoon - a protected natural area which hosts natural Mediterranean hillsides and a plethora of olive groves.
The golf course was built in 2006 after being designed by architect, David Mezzacane and professional golfer, Baldovino Dassu. Brian Jorgensen has subsequently shaped the holes, with the end result being a varied and eye-catching layout.
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As Italy’s only PGA-licensed golf facility, Argentario is a prestigious course that ranks among the country's best. Not only that, but the golf course is maintained with natural products and has, per the golf club's website "received the BioAgricert environmental certification for sustainability and water management."
Located on Italy's west coast, several of the holes run close to the sea and lagoon while a couple of others are either immersed in the vegetation. It is a shorter course than many on tour but requires immense concentration and good ball-striking to keep the golf ball in play.
Italian Open Previous Winners
Year | Winner | Score | Course |
---|---|---|---|
2024 | Marcel Siem | -10 (playoff - Tom McKibbin) | Adriatic |
2023 | Adrian Meronk | -13 (one stroke) | Marco Simone |
2022 | Robert MacIntyre | -14 (playoff - Matt Fitzpatrick) | Marco Simone |
2021 | Nicolai Hojgaard | -13 (one stroke) | Marco Simone |
2020 | Ross McGowan | -20 (one stroke) | Chervo |
2019 | Bernd Wiesberger | -16 (one stroke) | Olgiata |
2018 | Thorbjorn Olesen | -22 (one stroke) | Gardagolf |
2017 | Tyrrell Hatton | -21 (one stroke) | Milano |
2016 | Francesco Molinari | -22 (one stroke) | Milano |
2015 | Rikard Karlberg | -19 (playoff - Martin Kaymer) | Milano |
Italian Open Tournament Betting Odds
Outright winner odds from FanDuel Sportsbook (odds correct at time of publishing)
- Jordan Smith (+2000)
- Marco Penge (+2200)
- Kristoffer Reitan (+2800)
- Ewen Ferguson (+2800)
- Jayden Schaper (+3000)
- Francesco Laporta (+3000)
- Eugenio Chacarra (+3000)
- Keita Nakajima (+3300)
- Martin Couvra (+4000)
- Richard Mansell (+4500)
- Wenyi Ding (+4500)
- Angel Ayora (+4500)
- Brandon Stone (+4500)
- Frederic Lacroix (+5000)
- Daniel Hillier (+5000)
- Shaun Norris (+5000)
- Adrien Saddier (+5000)
- Alex Fitzpatrick (+5000)
- Andy Sullivan (+5000)
- John Parry (+5500)
- Sean Crocker (+5500)
- Jorge Campillo (+5500)
- All other players priced at +6000 or higher
Italian Open Betting Picks

Pick One: Eugenio Chacarra (+3000)
The Spaniard has enjoyed an excellent 2025 and I expect that to continue at the Italian Open, where his game will, hopefully, be more than enough to overpower Argentario Golf Club.
Ranked 52nd in terms of driving accuracy, Chacarra is 26th in greens in regulation and fourth in stroke average. The course isn't the longest, which should help the 25-year-old's lack of distance off the tee, with his accuracy and ball striking hopefully leading to a second DP World Tour win of the season.
Pick Two: John Parry (+5500)
Parry has been going about his business quietly on the DP World Tour, registering a T4 result at the Soudal Open in Belgium back in May.
The Englishman is regarded as one of the better iron players on the circuit and, looking at the stats, he sits 22nd in greens in regulation and has ranked highly in driving accuracy over the last few seasons. If he can maintain that accuracy and hole putts, I expect his good run of recent form to continue.

Pick One: Jayden Schaper (+3000)
The South African is an accuracy demon, especially off the tee, finding the fairway more regularly than the field in each of his past 12 appearances. In both of his past two starts, Schaper has gained strokes on the field in all four main categories, too.
Given the course is less than 6,900 yards long, I expect Schaper to remain competitive and flourish with strong approach shots and a tidy short game. Should he maintain his form - with a T5th and third place most recently - you can expect another good week from the 24-year-old.
Pick Two: Martin Couvra (+4000)
Couvra is one of very few in this field with recent experience of a new course for the DP World Tour. At the Italian Challenge last year, Couvra finished T12th here before going on to graduate to his current circuit.
The young Frenchman has been playing some excellent golf of late, winning three starts ago before another top-10 at the KLM Open. With certain similarities between The International and Argentario, I could see Couvra continuing his rich vein of form and appearing on the first page of the leaderboard once more.
How To Watch The Italian Open
US/ET
- Thursday, June 26 - Round One: 7:30am - 11:00am (Golf Channel/NBC Sports App), 11:00am - 12:30pm (NBC Sports App)
- Friday, June 27 - Round Two: 7:30am - 11:00am (Golf Channel/NBC Sports App), 11:00am - 12:30pm (NBC Sports App)
- Saturday, June 28 - Round Three: 6:30am - 11:00am (Golf Channel/NBC Sports App)
- Sunday, June 29 - Round Four: 6:00am - 11:00am (Golf Channel/NBC Sports App)
UK/BST
- Thursday, June 26 - Round One: 12:30pm - 5:30pm (Sky Sports Golf)
- Friday, June 27 - Round Two: 12:30pm - 5:30pm (Sky Sports Golf)
- Saturday, June 28 - Round Three: 12:30pm - 5:00pm (Sky Sports Golf)
- Sunday, June 29 - Round Four: 11:30am - 4:30pm (Sky Sports Golf)
Golf Monthly Betting Picks: Best Results 2025
Result | Player | Event | Price | GM Staff Member |
Win | Richard Mansell | Porsche Singapore Classic | +6000 | Matt Cradock |
Win | Eugenio Chacarra | Hero Indian Open | +3500 | Elliott Heath |
Win | Sergio Garcia | LIV Golf Hong Kong | +2200 | Jonny Leighfield |
Win | Ludvig Aberg | Genesis Invitational | +2200 | Matt Cradock |
Win | Laurie Canter | Bapco Energies Bahrain Championship | +2200 | Jonny Leighfield/Matt Cradock |
Win | Tyrrell Hatton | Hero Dubai Desert Classic | +900 | Jonny Leighfield |
Win | Joaquin Niemann | LIV Golf Virginia | +750 | Jonny Leighfield |
Win | Rory McIlroy | The Masters | +650 | Barry Plummer |
Win | Scottie Scheffler | PGA Championship | +400 | Matt Cradock/Elliott Heath |
T2nd | Jacques Kruyswijk | Joburg Open | +3500 | Elliott Heath |
2nd | Justin Thomas | Valspar Championship | +1200 | Jonny Leighfield |
2nd | Justin Thomas | The American Express | +1200 | Matt Cradock |
T2nd | Bryson DeChambeau | PGA Championship | +1100 | Barry Plummer |
2nd | Collin Morikawa | The Sentry | +1000 | Barry Plummer |
T3rd | Justin Rose | AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am | +15000 | Matt Cradock |
T3rd | Mackenzie Hughes | RBC Heritage | +10000 | Matt Cradock |
3rd | Patrick Reed | The Masters | +9000 | Matt Cradock |
3rd | Corey Conners | Arnold Palmer Invitational | +7000 | Jonny Leighfield |
T3rd | Daniel Berger | RBC Heritage | +4000 | Barry Plummer |
3rd | Sepp Straka | The Memorial Tournament | +3500 | Barry Plummer |
3rd | Joost Luiten | Hero Indian Open | +2500 | Elliott Heath |
3rd | Tom McKibbin | Porsche Singapore Classic | +1400 | Barry Plummer |

Jonny Leighfield is our Staff News Writer who joined Golf Monthly just in time for the 2023 Solheim Cup and Ryder Cup. He graduated from the University of Brighton with a degree in Sport Journalism in 2017 and spent almost five years as the sole sports reporter at his local newspaper. During his time with Golf Monthly, Jonny has interviewed several stars of the game, including Robert MacIntyre, Ian Poulter, Lee Westwood, and Joaquin Niemann. An improving golfer himself, Jonny enjoys learning as much about the game as he can and recently reached his Handicap goal of 18 for the first time. He attended both the 150th and 151st Open Championships and dreams of attending The Masters one day.
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