3M Open 2026 Betting Tips: Three Picks To Take On Red-Hot Favorite Scottie Scheffler
Scottie Scheffler is a huge favorite to win at TPC Twin Cities but Paul Higham has picked out three possible challengers in his 3M Open betting tips
After the saga and the drama of the Open Championship it's back to regular PGA Tour action at the 3M Open in Minnesota.
It's a relatively new event at TPC Twin Cities with just seven previous events and some decent low scoring - Kurt Kitayama shoot 60 last year along the way to winning on 23 under.
Adam Svensson also stuck in a 60 last year while Lee Hodges shot 24 under to win in 2023, but although low scores are out there it's not always a full-on birdie fest as Cameron Champ won on 15 under while Jhonattan Vegas and Tony Finau both hit 17 under in their victories.
Scottie Scheffler is making his tournament debut as the red-hot favorite, with the bookies seeing this as a gimme for the World No.1 as the runaway +250 (5/2) market leader.
Scheffler should stroll to victory
Scheffler will see this as a fantastic opportunity to grab his first win since January - coming off a fourth place at Royal Birkdale when only the putter let him down.
Trends at the 3M Open point to driving accuracy and also more importantly approach play being key for success, and Scheffler's not only head and shoulders above the rest of this field but also the best in the world with an iron in hand.
Scheffler missed his first cut in four years in Scotland and has to make the trans-Atlantic trip back from The Open after a frustrating Sunday, but they're not big enough negatives to suggest he won't stroll to victory a week later.
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Scheffler leads the PGA Tour in Strokes Gained with 2.154, the next best in this week's field is Jake Knapp in 20th with 0.903, while the next highest in the FedEx Cup behind leader Scheffler is Gary Woodland in 29th and Hideki Matsuyama down at 30th is the highest ranked player in the OWGR besides the World No.1.
There's a gulf in class and form in this field that you rarely see on the PGA Tour. Annything can happen in a golf tournament and his odds are crazily short, but it's not often you say a player should, not could, win on the PGA Tour. This is one of those weeks.
Back Scottie Scheffler to win the 3M Open at +250 (5/2) with BetMGM
3m Open betting without Scottie Scheffler
You've got options this week as with Scheffler being such a hot favorite you could take him out of the equation and use the winner without Scottie Scheffler market, or just take your chances in the regular market and hope for some eacy-way money if the favorite does indeed romp home.
So who else could make the frame, or even shock Scheffler?
Pick One: Jake Knapp +4000
Hideki Matsuyama had top-20 finishes at The Open and Scottish Open and was seventh on his debut here in 2019 so has to be on the shortlist alongside Sungjae Im, who is also a flusher, tied for 14th at Birkdale and has a runner-up finish at this event in 2022.
But preference here goes to Jake Knapp despite his results recently being the worst of this bunch, with three missed cuts in four starts as he returns from a thumb injury.
He missed the cut at the Scottish Open and The Open but gained strokes on approach in both - only just at Birkdale but his ball striking was great up in Scotland.
Knapp was third at the 3M Open last year so knows how to avoid the vast array of water hazards on the course, and when and where to use his length off the tee - while he's shot 59 at PGA National which many put up as a closely comparable course to TPC Twin Cities.
Missing the weekend at The Open was a blow, but Knapp had extra time to return to the United States and could be one of those happy to get back home rather than sorry to leave the links behind.
Even with Scheffler in the field he should have a chance.
Back Jake Knapp @ +4000 (40/1) with BetMGM
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Pick Two: Corey Conners +5000
Corey Conners is coming off 14th at The Open and is as good a ball striker as you'll get, so if his putter is hot here he will surely go close.
He put up his third-best Strokes Gained numbers in both approach and putting in the final round at Birkdale, so that's great momentum to return back across the Atlantic with.
Conners was seventh on his last start in the USA at the Travelers so has plenty of positives, and in a field not exactly filled with star names and multiple winners behind Scheffler, there aren't many with as much class as the Canadian.
He'd get a pick anyway but Conners is also in the final automatic spot for the Presidents Cup so will want to ensure he gets into the International Team by right.
Back Corey Conners +5000 (50/1) with BetMGM
Pick Three: Ben Kohles +6600
With plenty of players jetting in from the UK, Kohles had the week off last week after a fine spell where he won on the Korn Ferry Tour and finished no lower than 29th in six starts. He also should've won the John Deere Classic but for an error on the final hole.
Three of the last six winners of the 3M Open arrived after a top 20 at TPC Deere Run, while Kohles' superb iron play recenting (SG: Approach 35.11 across last 10 starts) suits the task in hand in Minnesota.
He's finished 20-24 in the last two years at TPC Twin Cities and if there's any jet leg, links fatigue or just plain old tiredness in the rest of the field, a well-rested and in-form Kohles can take advantage.
Back Ben Kohles +6600 (66/1) with BetMGM
Golf Monthly Tour Issue Podcast 3M Open betting picks
As always, the Golf Monthly Tour Issue Podcast team made their PGA Tour picks for the PGA Tour this week as part of their Tipster's Challenge segment.
Here's who we've selected:
Staff member | Favorite | Outsider |
Baz Plummer | Scottie Scheffler | Max Homa |
Elliott Heath | Lucas Glover | Ben James |
Matt Cradock | Scottie Scheffler | William Mouw |
Jonny Leighfield | Hideki Matsuyama | Corey Conners |

Paul Higham is a sports journalist with over 20 years of experience in covering most major sporting events for both Sky Sports and BBC Sport. He is currently freelance and covers the golf majors on the BBC Sport website. Highlights over the years include covering that epic Monday finish in the Ryder Cup at Celtic Manor and watching Rory McIlroy produce one of the most dominant Major wins at the 2011 US Open at Congressional. He also writes betting previews and still feels strangely proud of backing Danny Willett when he won the Masters in 2016 - Willett also praised his putting stroke during a media event before the Open at Hoylake. Favourite interviews he's conducted have been with McIlroy, Paul McGinley, Thomas Bjorn, Rickie Fowler and the enigma that is Victor Dubuisson. A big fan of watching any golf from any tour, sadly he spends more time writing about golf than playing these days with two young children, and as a big fair weather golfer claims playing in shorts is worth at least five shots. Being from Liverpool he loves the likes of Hoylake, Birkdale and the stretch of tracks along England's Golf Coast, but would say his favourite courses played are Kingsbarns and Portrush.
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