O’Hair is a class act in this company, and deserves favouritism on that basis. However, backing this type of candidate hasn’t paid off in previous Fall Series, and Sean’s fine form rather disintegrated during the playoff series.
Playing in a Fall Series event during Ryder Cup week should weigh on Campbell’s mind, given that he was in America’s winning team at Valhalla. Despite a lack of recent form, he must be seriously respected as the ultimate course specialist, with returns of second, fourth and first at Annandale.
Only the short price deterred me from backing Haas, who has had a decent year since winning his maiden title at the Bob Hope. Recent form is fair with top 30s in his last two FedEx Cup starts, and top fours on both previous visits to Annandale mark him down as a course specialist.
As a former Annandale champion, in 2005, Slocum rates another very strong candidate. He has the ideal short and straight profile, has enjoyed a fair season and is in decent form having finished ninth at The Barclays.
Toms has no money list issues, but represents a touch of class in this company. Recent form is excellent, finishing 15th at Cog Hill and runner up in the Wyndham Championship. Toms also made the top ten in the last Annandale renewal in 2008.
Wi has become impressively consistent, registering eight top 25s on his last 14 starts, including eighth at Cog Hill last time. He has no worries on the course form front either, finishing fifth on his Annandale debut in 2005.
Another former Annandale champion with solid credentials, much further up the money list than most of these rivals. Top 25s in the first two Fedex Cup playoffs read very well in this company too.
BRENDON DE JONGE
De Jonge is still looking for a breakthrough win after easily his best season, and could well strike during this late period. Prior the the PGA and Fedex Cup, he’d made six top 20s from eight.
Fifth here in 2007, Senden’s claims are further strengthened by top 15s in both The Barclays and Deutsche Bank Championship.
Pettersson has enjoyed his share of autumn success before, including when runner up here in 2005. He’s already a winner this summer too.
Stenson’s presence in a field of this calibre speaks volumes about his dire year. In 122nd place, he still needs to earn some cash to be safe.
RICHARD S JOHNSON
Another interesting candidate from just outside the top 125. Johnson won July’s Scandinavian Masters, and followed up with three straight top 25s in the States.
Gay was runner up in 2008 and is the ideal type for this course; short, straight and an excellent putter. This year’s form isn’t so good, but he was runner up at Colonial back in May.
Cejka has been either excellent or poor lately, making four top-eights from his last nine starts, but missing the other five cuts. He made the top-ten here last year.
Available at huge odds, McNeill has nothing recent to recommend him but catches the eye on the basis of previous Fall Series efforts. He won the 2007 Frys.com Open, and has finished runner up three times in these autumn events since. In 138th place on the money list, he needs to find similar inspiration.
2010 STATS: -58pts
LONG-TERM ALREADY ADVISED
5pts MARTIN KAYMER TO WIN THE RACE TO DUBAI @ 9/1